Talk:Queen Bee/@comment-219.160.129.213-20100727012026/@comment-67.191.154.34-20100829035119

.06%, NOT 6%

The probability is calculated like this: 1-((1-.0006)^N). The probability of harvesting 4000 plots and getting a queen is 90.93% (and not getting a queen is obviously 9.07%). In other words, most people will have found a queen by now, but it's not crazy that you haven't.